However, should Trump win Florida, all bets as to who wins the presidency are off. It will still be an uphill climb for him, but not impossible. He would have to run the table in the rest of the battleground states like he did in 2016 while also holding on to states he won four years ago. It is noteworthy that states like Ohio and Georgia that, by rights, should be firmly in his sagging pockets, are suddenly up for grabs. In fact, Ohio, without which no Republican has ever been elected president, is giving Republicans heartburn now because their internal polls show a Biden lead.
Three battleground states other than Florida may also report their results on November 3d: Arizona, North Carolina and Ohio. Thus, by midnight or in the wee hours of November 4th, we should have a pretty good sense of where things stand: either a Biden victory or an uncertain outcome. Should Biden sweep all four of these states, look for a landslide that will blow Trump out of the water.
Twenty years after Florida’s election snafu—butterfly ballots, hanging chads, recount chaos, conflicting court decisions, etc., the Sunshine State has a rare opportunity to redeem itself by giving us a new, competent president and a path out of the black hole of Trumpism.
October 2, 2020